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Reduced ground station allocation compared to the baseline and our predictions for LTP12 and LTP13 means that SOC were not convinced that the level of data return predicted in Mission Level Planning of NMP Segment 2: Initial Analysis is in fact possible. Here we present a more refined analysis taking into account the output of LTP11 long term planning (i.e. the amount of data in the SSMM at the end of LTP11) and the confirmed pass schedule for LTP12 and LTP13. Note this will not be as accurate as the simulations done during the long term planning process since how the proportion of the downlink reserved for spacecraft housekeeping and other MOC activities is calculated differently, but it is more representative than the mission level planning simulations performed to date.